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Feb, 2013
带有隐变量因果模型的顺序计划的概率评估
Probabilistic Evaluation of Sequential Plans from Causal Models with Hidden Variables
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Judea Pearl, James M. Robins
TL;DR
研究了在存在未测量变量的情况下，具有若干并发或顺序行动的计划的概率评估，并建立了图形判据以识别只通过测量变量的被动观测就可以预测给定计划效果的情况。当满足该标准时，为计划实现指定目标的概率提供了一个闭合表达式。
Abstract
The paper concerns the
probabilistic evaluation
of plans in the presence of
unmeasured variables
, each plan consisting of several concurrent or
s
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