Gas is the transaction-fee metering system of the Ethereum network. Users of the network are required to select a gas price for submission with their transaction, creating a risk of overpaying or delayed/unprocessed transactions in this selection. In this work, we investigate data in the aftermath of the London Hard Fork and shed insight into the transaction dynamics of the net-work after this major fork. As such, this paper provides an update on work previous to 2019 on the link between EthUSD BitUSD and gas price. For forecasting, we compare a novel combination of machine learning methods such as Direct Recursive Hybrid LSTM, CNNLSTM, and Attention LSTM. These are combined with wavelet threshold denoising and matrix profile data processing toward the forecasting of block minimum gas price, on a 5-min timescale, over multiple lookaheads. As the first application of the matrix profile being applied to gas price data and forecasting we are aware of, this study demonstrates that matrix profile data can enhance attention-based models however, given the hardware constraints, hybrid models outperformed attention and CNNLSTM models. The wavelet coherence of inputs demonstrates correlation in multiple variables on a 1 day timescale, which is a deviation of base free from gas price. A Direct-Recursive Hybrid LSTM strategy outperforms other models. Hybrid models have favourable performance up to a 20 min lookahead with performance being comparable to attention models when forecasting 25/50-min ahead. Forecasts over a range of lookaheads allow users to make an informed decision on gas price selection and the optimal window to submit their transaction in without fear of their transaction being rejected. This, in turn, gives more detailed insight into gas price dynamics than existing recommenders, oracles and forecasting approaches, which provide simple heuristics or limited lookahead horizons.

本文研究以太坊网络的气体费用动态，比较多种基于深度学习的预测方法的表现，并提出了一种新的矩阵记录的预处理方法，这可以帮助网络用户做出明智的气体费用选择，以及确定提交交易的最佳时间窗口。

区块链交易费用预测：机器学习方法比较