Survival prediction is a major concern for cancer management. Deep survival models based on deep learning have been widely adopted to perform end-to-end survival prediction from medical images. Recent deep survival models achieved promising performance by jointly performing tumor segmentation with survival prediction, where the models were guided to extract tumor-related information through Multi-Task Learning (MTL). However, existing deep survival models have difficulties in exploring out-of-tumor prognostic information (e.g., local lymph node metastasis and adjacent tissue invasions). In addition, existing deep survival models are underdeveloped in utilizing multi-modality images. Empirically-designed strategies were commonly adopted to fuse multi-modality information via fixed pre-designed networks. In this study, we propose a Deep Multi-modality Segmentation-to-Survival model (DeepMSS) for survival prediction from PET/CT images. Instead of adopting MTL, we propose a novel Segmentation-to-Survival Learning (SSL) strategy, where our DeepMSS is trained for tumor segmentation and survival prediction sequentially. This strategy enables the DeepMSS to initially focus on tumor regions and gradually expand its focus to include other prognosis-related regions. We also propose a data-driven strategy to fuse multi-modality image information, which realizes automatic optimization of fusion strategies based on training data during training and also improves the adaptability of DeepMSS to different training targets. Our DeepMSS is also capable of incorporating conventional radiomics features as an enhancement, where handcrafted features can be extracted from the DeepMSS-segmented tumor regions and cooperatively integrated into the DeepMSS's training and inference. Extensive experiments with two large clinical datasets show that our DeepMSS outperforms state-of-the-art survival prediction methods.

本文提出了一种新型深度多模态分割-预测幸存模型，該模型采用分割-预测学习 策略和数据驱动的方法，能够从 PET/CT 图像中进行肿瘤分割和幸存预测，并能将传统放射学特征作为一种增强，能够更好地适应最佳训练模型来预测平台上不同的治疗的患者的存活和处理等方面的差异。

DeepMSS: PET/CT图像的深度多模态分割至生存预测学习