Modern deep learning systems successfully solve many perception tasks such as
object pose estimation when the input image is of high quality. However, in
challenging imaging conditions such as on low-resolution images or when the
image is corrupted by imaging artifacts, current systems degrade considerably
in accuracy. While a loss in performance is unavoidable, we would like our
models to quantify their uncertainty in order to achieve robustness against
images of varying quality. Probabilistic deep learning models combine the
expressive power of deep learning with uncertainty quantification. In this
paper, we propose a novel probabilistic deep learning model for the task of
angular regression. Our model uses von Mises distributions to predict a
distribution over object pose angle. Whereas a single von Mises distribution is
making strong assumptions about the shape of the distribution, we extend the
basic model to predict a mixture of von Mises distributions. We show how to
learn a mixture model using a finite and infinite number of mixture components.
Our model allows for likelihood-based training and efficient inference at test
time. We demonstrate on a number of challenging pose estimation datasets that
our model produces calibrated probability predictions and competitive or
superior point estimates compared to the current state-of-the-art.

本文提出一种新颖的概率深度学习模型，通过使用 von Mises 分布预测物体位姿角度的分布，可用于不确定性量化，同时在不同质量的图像下也有较强的鲁棒性，经实验证明其具有竞争力的精度和预测能力。