Modern time-domain surveys continuously monitor large swaths of the sky to
look for astronomical variability. Astrophysical discovery in such data sets is
complicated by the fact that detections of real transient and variable sources
are highly outnumbered by bogus detections caused by imperfect subtractions,
atmospheric effects and detector artefacts. In this work we present a machine
learning (ML) framework for discovery of variability in time-domain imaging
surveys. Our ML methods provide probabilistic statements, in near real time,
about the degree to which each newly observed source is astrophysically
relevant source of variable brightness. We provide details about each of the
analysis steps involved, including compilation of the training and testing
sets, construction of descriptive image-based and contextual features, and
optimization of the feature subset and model tuning parameters. Using a
validation set of nearly 30,000 objects from the Palomar Transient Factory, we
demonstrate a missed detection rate of at most 7.7% at our chosen
false-positive rate of 1% for an optimized ML classifier of 23 features,
selected to avoid feature correlation and over-fitting from an initial library
of 42 attributes. Importantly, we show that our classification methodology is
insensitive to mis-labelled training data up to a contamination of nearly 10%,
making it easier to compile sufficient training sets for accurate performance
in future surveys. This ML framework, if so adopted, should enable the
maximization of scientific gain from future synoptic survey and enable fast
follow-up decisions on the vast amounts of streaming data produced by such
experiments.

本文利用机器学习算法在时间域巡天数据中搜索天体物理学方面的发现，并提供了每个新观测源是可靠变亮源的概率性声明。通过 Palomar 暂现工厂的验证集，证明了该算法的性能好，并且不易受到训练数据错标签的影响。