In this paper, we investigate a predictive approach for collision risk
assessment in autonomous and assisted driving. A deep predictive model is
trained to anticipate imminent accidents from traditional video streams. In
particular, the model learns to identify cues in RGB images that are predictive
of hazardous upcoming situations. In contrast to previous work, our approach
incorporates (a) temporal information during decision making, (b) multi-modal
information about the environment, as well as the proprioceptive state and
steering actions of the controlled vehicle, and (c) information about the
uncertainty inherent to the task. To this end, we discuss Deep Predictive
Models and present an implementation using a Bayesian Convolutional LSTM.
Experiments in a simple simulation environment show that the approach can learn
to predict impending accidents with reasonable accuracy, especially when
multiple cameras are used as input sources.

本文研究了一种在自主驾驶和辅助驾驶中用于碰撞风险评估的预测方法，利用深度预测模型从传统视频流中预测即将到来的事故，并在决策制定过程中引入了时间信息、多模态信息以及任务固有的不确定性。通过使用基于贝叶斯卷积 LSTM 的深度预测模型，实验表明当多个摄像头作为输入源时，该方法能够较为准确地预测即将发生的事故。