Traffic forecasting is a particularly challenging application of
spatiotemporal forecasting, due to the time-varying traffic patterns and the
complicated spatial dependencies on road networks. To address this challenge,
we learn the traffic network as a graph and propose a novel deep learning
framework, Traffic Graph Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network
(TGC-LSTM), to learn the interactions between roadways in the traffic network
and forecast the network-wide traffic state. We define the traffic graph
convolution based on the physical network topology. The relationship between
the proposed traffic graph convolution and the spectral graph convolution is
also discussed. An L1-norm on graph convolution weights and an L2-norm on graph
convolution features are added to the model's loss function to enhance the
interpretability of the proposed model. Experimental results show that the
proposed model outperforms baseline methods on two real-world traffic state
datasets. The visualization of the graph convolution weights indicates that the
proposed framework can recognize the most influential road segments in
real-world traffic networks.

通过学习交通网络图形并提出一种新的深度学习框架，Traffic Graph Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network（TGC-LSTM），我们可以更好地进行交通预测，从而在两个真实的交通状态数据集上优于基准方法。