Current time-series forecasting problems use short-term weather attributes as
exogenous inputs. However, in specific time-series forecasting solutions (e.g.,
demand prediction in the supply chain), seasonal climate predictions are
crucial to improve its resilience. Representing mid to long-term seasonal
climate forecasts is challenging as seasonal climate predictions are uncertain,
and encoding spatio-temporal relationship of climate forecasts with demand is
complex.
We propose a novel modeling framework that efficiently encodes seasonal
climate predictions to provide robust and reliable time-series forecasting for
supply chain functions. The encoding framework enables effective learning of
latent representations -- be it uncertain seasonal climate prediction or other
time-series data (e.g., buyer patterns) -- via a modular neural network
architecture. Our extensive experiments indicate that learning such
representations to model seasonal climate forecast results in an error
reduction of approximately 13\% to 17\% across multiple real-world data sets
compared to existing demand forecasting methods.

通过一种新颖的建模框架，我们可以有效地编码季节性气候预测，为供应链功能提供强大而可靠的时间序列预测。这种编码框架通过模块化神经网络架构实现了对潜在表示的有效学习，从而使得在多个实际数据集上，相对于现有需求预测方法，将季节性气候预测结果建模的误差降低了大约 13％至 17％。