TL;DR本文提出了一个概率的信念模型,并探讨了它对于信念动态的影响,比 AGM 理论约弱但比 Lockean 理论强,考虑一类特定模型并提出其自然的原则,最终相较于 Leitgeb 和 Lin 以及 Kelly 的竞争性概率信念模型而言本框架比较优越。
Abstract
In previous work ("Knowledge from Probability", TARK 2021) we develop a
question-relative, probabilistic account of belief. On this account, what
someone believes relative to a given question is (i) closed under entailment,
(ii) sufficiently probable given their evidence, and (iii) sen