Large language models (LLMs) perform better when they produce step-by-step,
"Chain-of-Thought" (CoT) reasoning before answering a question, but it is
unclear if the stated reasoning is a faithful explanation of the model's actual
reasoning (i.e., its process for answering the question). We investigate
hypotheses for how CoT reasoning may be unfaithful, by examining how the model
predictions change when we intervene on the CoT (e.g., by adding mistakes or
paraphrasing it). Models show large variation across tasks in how strongly they
condition on the CoT when predicting their answer, sometimes relying heavily on
the CoT and other times primarily ignoring it. CoT's performance boost does not
seem to come from CoT's added test-time compute alone or from information
encoded via the particular phrasing of the CoT. As models become larger and
more capable, they produce less faithful reasoning on most tasks we study.
Overall, our results suggest that CoT can be faithful if the circumstances such
as the model size and task are carefully chosen.

在大型语言模型中，通过分析模型预测的变化，研究发现 Chain-of-Thought 推理在某些任务中对答案预测的条件具有较大影响，但随着模型规模的增大，模型对大多数任务的推理越来越不可信，因此建议在选择模型规模和任务时谨慎使用 Chain-of-Thought 推理。