Predicting vehicle trajectories is crucial for ensuring automated vehicle
operation efficiency and safety, particularly on congested multi-lane highways.
In such dynamic environments, a vehicle's motion is determined by its
historical behaviors as well as interactions with surrounding vehicles. These
intricate interactions arise from unpredictable motion patterns, leading to a
wide range of driving behaviors that warrant in-depth investigation. This study
presents the Graph-based Interaction-aware Multi-modal Trajectory Prediction
(GIMTP) framework, designed to probabilistically predict future vehicle
trajectories by effectively capturing these interactions. Within this
framework, vehicles' motions are conceptualized as nodes in a time-varying
graph, and the traffic interactions are represented by a dynamic adjacency
matrix. To holistically capture both spatial and temporal dependencies embedded
in this dynamic adjacency matrix, the methodology incorporates the Diffusion
Graph Convolutional Network (DGCN), thereby providing a graph embedding of both
historical states and future states. Furthermore, we employ a driving
intention-specific feature fusion, enabling the adaptive integration of
historical and future embeddings for enhanced intention recognition and
trajectory prediction. This model gives two-dimensional predictions for each
mode of longitudinal and lateral driving behaviors and offers probabilistic
future paths with corresponding probabilities, addressing the challenges of
complex vehicle interactions and multi-modality of driving behaviors.
Validation using real-world trajectory datasets demonstrates the efficiency and
potential.

通过捕捉交互作用，这项研究提出了基于图的多模态轨迹预测模型，利用扩散图卷积网络有效预测未来车辆轨迹，并给出了相应概率，解决车辆交互和多模态行为的挑战。